Majalisar wakilai ta yi amfani da fahimtar yawan jama'a dangane da jama'a kuma tana da kujeru 435.Kowane dan majalisar wakilai yana wakiltar wata mazaba ta musamman a jiharsa kuma ya yi wa'adi na shekaru biyu, wanda hakan ke nufin dole ne a sake zabar su a wannan zabe na tsakiyar wa'adi.

Majalisar dattawa, a daya bangaren, tana wakiltar ma'auni na gundumomi kuma tana da kujeru 100.Duk jihohin Amurka 50, ba tare da la’akari da girmansu ba, za su iya zabar sanatoci biyu da za su wakilci jiharsu.

Zaben tsakiyar wa’adi ba shi da alaka da shugabancin kasar, sai dai sakamakon na da nasaba da tsarin mulki da tattalin arzikin shugaba Biden na shekaru biyu masu zuwa.

 

Yaya yanayin zaben yake a halin yanzu?

Amurka tana da tsarin siyasa na rabuwar kai wanda manyan manufofin shugaban ke buƙatar amincewar majalisa.Don haka, idan jam’iyyar da ke kan madafun iko ta rasa iko da majalisun biyu, manufofin shugaban kasar za su yi matukar cikas.

Misali, a halin yanzu ‘yan jam’iyyar Democrat sun fi ‘yan Republican yawan kujeru a majalisun biyu, amma tazarar da ke tsakanin jam’iyyun biyu kujeru 12 ne kawai – a halin yanzu majalisun biyu na hannun ‘yan Democrat ne, duk da cewa tazarar tana da kadan.

Kuma bisa ga sabbin bayanai daga FiveThirtyEight, ƙimar amincewar Jam’iyyar Republican yanzu ya zarce na Jam’iyyar Demokraɗiyya;haka ma, ƙimar amincewar Shugaba Biden a halin yanzu ya yi ƙasa da kusan dukkan shugabannin Amurka a lokaci guda.

Kashi 46% na mutane sun ce za su iya goyon bayan 'yan Republican a zabe, 45.2% sun fi goyon bayan Democrats (FiveThirtyEight)

 

Don haka, idan har jam’iyyar da ke mulki a yanzu ta rasa iko a Majalisar Dattawa ko na Majalisar a wannan zaben tsakiyar wa’adi, aiwatar da manufofin Shugaba Biden zai fuskanci cikas;idan majalisun biyu suka yi rashin nasara, shugaban da ke son gabatar da kudirin zai iya takurawa ko ma ya fuskanci yanayin rasa madafun iko.

Idan ba za a iya aiwatar da manufofin cikin nasara ba, hakan kuma zai sanya Biden da Jam'iyyar Demokaradiyya cikin wani yanayi mara kyau a zaben shugaban kasa na 2024, ta yadda za a iya kallon zaben tsakiyar wa'adi a matsayin zaben shugaban kasa na gaba "gudu."

 

Menene abubuwan da ke faruwa?

A cewar wata sabuwar kuri'ar jin ra'ayin jama'a daga ABC, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da kuma tattalin arziki sune manyan damuwar masu kada kuri'a gabanin zaben tsakiyar wa'adi.Kusan rabin Amurkawa sun ambaci waɗannan batutuwa biyu a matsayin mafi mahimmanci wajen yanke shawarar yadda za su yi zabe.

Mutane da yawa sun yi imanin cewa sakamakon wadannan zabukan tsakiyar wa'adi zai yi tasiri kan manufofin Fed, musamman saboda shawo kan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki na daya daga cikin muhimman nasarorin da gwamnati ta samu a wannan mataki.

Bayanai na watan Yuni sun nuna cewa manufofin Fed na hawkish na iya haɓaka ƙimar amincewar Biden, yayin da manufofin dovish na iya rage ƙimar amincewar shugaban.

Don haka, tare da gaskiyar cewa hauhawar farashin kayayyaki har yanzu yana kan gaba a cikin tunanin masu jefa ƙuri'a, ba da fifiko kan yaƙi da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki kafin zaɓen tsakiyar wa'adi na iya zama "kuskure."

Kuma a yayin da ake fuskantar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, yayin da gwamnatin Biden ta jaddada cewa yaki da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki abu ne na farko, amma a daya bangaren, ta dauki matakai daban-daban na hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.

Idan waɗannan takardun kudi suka wuce, za su iya ƙara haɓaka hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, wanda zai haifar da ƙara tsaurara manufofin kuɗi ta Tarayyar Tarayya.

 

Wannan yana nufin cewa ƙimar riba za ta ci gaba da tashi kuma ƙarshen ƙimar Fed zai kasance mafi girma.