Bayan kusan shekara guda na tashin gwauron zabi, a karshe kasuwar kwadago ta nuna alamun sanyi, kuma adadin sabbin ma'aikata ya ragu zuwa shekaru biyu.

Kamar yadda muka ambata a baya, babban abin da aka mayar da hankali kan lokacin da Fed zai rage farashin gaba shine kasuwar aiki.

Bayanan albashin da ba na noma na Disamba ya nuna cewa hauhawar farashin Fed ya biya.

Haka kuma, don jin daɗin kasuwa, hauhawar farashin albashi ya yi sanyi sosai a cikin Disamba - matsakaicin matsakaicin albashin sa'a ya karu da kashi 0.3% na shekara-shekara, kuma albashin sa'o'i ya karu a mafi ƙarancin shekara fiye da shekara tun watan Agusta 2021.

A cikin wani taron manema labarai bayan tashin farashin watan Disamba, Shugaban Fed Powell ya jaddada cewa albashi shine ainihin mahimmancin batun yaki da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a 2023.

Kuma mintuna na taron na Disamba da aka fitar a ranar Larabar da ta gabata, sun nuna cewa mahalarta FOMC sun yi imanin cewa kiyaye karuwar albashi mai yawa yana tallafawa babban hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a bangaren ayyuka (ban da gidaje), don haka ya zama dole a kara inganta daidaito tsakanin wadata da bukatu a cikin kasuwar aiki domin rage matsin lamba kan lissafin albashi.

Mahimmancin kwantar da hankali a cikin hauhawar farashin albashi yana ba da sababbin shaidun cewa hauhawar farashin kaya yana kara raguwa kuma yana ba da hanya ga Tarayyar Tarayya don rage yawan karuwar riba.

 

Yawan marasa aikin yi zai tashi sosai

Kodayake kasuwar ƙwadago ta yi sanyi sosai, ribar ayyukan yi 223,000 ya zarce tsammanin kasuwa a wata na takwas a jere.

Duk da haka, a bayan wannan rahoton da ake ganin "m" akan lissafin albashin da ba na noma ba, an manta da cewa haɓaka aikin yi gaba ɗaya ne sakamakon mutane da yawa suna riƙe da ayyuka da yawa.

A watan Disamba, akwai ma'aikata 132,299,000 na cikakken lokaci a Amurka, amma a lokaci guda, adadin ma'aikatan wucin gadi ya karu da 679,000, kuma adadin mutanen da ke da ayyuka da yawa ya karu da 370,000.

A cikin watanni goma da suka gabata, jimillar ma'aikatan cikakken lokaci ya ragu da 288,000, yayin da adadin ma'aikatan wucin gadi ya karu da 886,000.

Wannan yana nufin cewa adadin albashin da ba noma ya kamata ya kasance mara kyau a cikin Disamba, dangane da ainihin adadin mutanen da suka sami sabbin ayyuka!

Kuma rahoton albashin da ba na noma na “cikakke” da alama ya makantar da mutane, mai yiwuwa tattalin arzikin ya nuna alamun koma bayan tattalin arziki na farko.

Duban bayanan tarihi ya nuna cewa kasuwar aiki da kanta alama ce mai raguwa kuma saurin haɓakawa a cikin adadin rashin aikin yi yakan faru lokacin da hauhawar riba ta tsaya ko manufofin kuɗi ta canza zuwa raguwa.

Wannan yana nufin cewa rashin aikin yi zai iya karuwa sosai a cikin shekara bayan da Fed ya daina haɓaka yawan riba.

Masana tattalin arzikin bankin Amurka ma sun yi hasashen cewa yawan rashin aikin yi zai tashi daga kashi 3.7% zuwa 5.3% a wannan shekara, wanda zai zama mutane miliyan 19 ba su da aikin yi!

 

Ana sa ran farashin jinginar gida zai faɗi

Sakamakon koma bayan da aka samu a kasuwannin kwadago da hauhawar farashin albashi, faretin kasuwa a kan hauhawar farashin Fed ya ragu, inda kasuwar yanzu ke sa ran za a samu karuwar maki 25 a watan Fabrairu, wanda shine 75.7%.

Yawan lamuni na shekaru 10 na Amurka shima ya ragu sama da maki 30 a cikin mako guda, kuma ana sa ran yawan jinginar gidaje zai kara faduwa.

Yayin da yanayin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya karu, idanuwan Fed za su kasance kan kasuwar aiki a matakai na gaba.

Ellen Zentner, babban masanin tattalin arziki a Morgan Stanley, ya kuma jaddada cewa kasuwar aiki na iya zama alama ta gaba, ba CPI ba.

 

Yayin da kasuwar aiki ke sanyi, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki zai ragu da sauri, kuma kasuwar jinginar gida za ta fara farfadowa.