CPI Yana Nuna Cikakken Sanyi

A ranar Alhamis, Yuli 11, Ma'aikatar Kwadago ta fitar da bayanan da ke nuna cewa yawan ci gaban shekara na CPI na Yuni ya ragu daga 3.3% a watan Mayu zuwa 3%, a ƙasa da 3.1% da ake tsammani. Wannan shine mafi ƙarancin girma tun watan Yuni na shekarar da ta gabata kuma yana nuna raguwar ƙarancin wata-wata na farko tun watan Mayu 2020, tare da raguwar 0.1%.

Babban CPI ya karu da 3.3% kowace shekara, a ƙasa da 3.4%. Haɓaka wata-wata ya kasance 0.1%, ƙaramin ƙarami tun daga watan Agusta 2021. Wannan raguwar da ba zato ba tsammani a cikin bayanai ba shakka ya shigar da ƙaƙƙarfan kwarin gwiwa a cikin kasuwa, yana nuna cikakkiyar sanyi na hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.

Musamman, farashin kayayyaki da na ayyuka duka sun ragu a kowace shekara, tare da farashin kayayyaki yana nuna sabon rahusa tun daga shekarar 2020, yana faduwa da kashi 1.8% a shekara.

Musamman ma, hauhawar farashin gidaje a cikin ainihin CPI kuma yana haɓaka raguwar sa.

Shekara-shekara, hauhawar farashin gidaje na watan Yuni ya ragu zuwa 5.16%, ya ragu daga 5.41% a watan Mayu, wanda ke nuna mafi ƙanƙanta tun watan Mayun 2022. Hayan farashin haya ya tashi da 5.07% a shekara, ya ragu daga 5.30% a watan Mayu, mafi ƙanƙanta tun Afrilu 2022.

Rage Rage Mai shigowa?

Bayan fitar da bayanan, abubuwan da ake samu na Baitul mali sun ragu. Sabbin yawan amfanin ƙasa na shekaru 10 na Baitul mali ya yi ƙasa da kusan watanni uku.

Dala da zinare kuma sun nuna halayen da suka dace. Koyaya, saboda gyare-gyaren kasuwa, ƙwararrun ƙwararrun ƙwararrun fasahar Amurka kamar Nvidia, Apple, da Microsoft sun sami raguwa sosai. Akasin haka, ƙananan hannun jari masu tsayin tsayin daka sun ga hauhawar ramuwar gayya, tare da index Russell 2000 yana tsalle 3.6% a cikin kwana ɗaya. A halin da ake ciki, ƙididdigar Nasdaq mai tasowa a baya ta faɗi da 2%, kuma ma'aunin S&P 500 ya ragu da kashi 1.4%.

Bayanai sun nuna cewa wasan kwaikwayon na wannan rana ya nuna mafi girman gibin ayyukan yini guda tsakanin ma'auni na Russell 2000 da Nasdaq tun daga 1986.

A gefe guda kuma, kasuwa ta ƙara yuwuwar rage yawan kuɗin Tarayyar Tarayya wanda zai fara a watan Satumba daga kusan 70% kafin sakin bayanan zuwa sama da 90%. 7.3% kawai sun yi imanin cewa ba za a rage adadin kuɗi ba.

Bugu da ƙari, kasuwa yana tsammanin raguwar ƙimar 2-3 na tsawon shekara guda, tare da yuwuwar kashi 46.6% na raguwa uku.

Masana tattalin arziki da masu sa ido kan kasuwa sun kuma nuna kwarin gwiwa kan rage farashin Fed, tare da JPMorgan ta motsa lokacin da ake sa ran rage adadin daga Nuwamba zuwa Satumba. Tsakanin ƙungiyar mawaƙa na yanke tsammanin ƙima, ga alama lokaci ne kawai.

Trump a matsayin X-Factor?

Koyaya, rashin tabbas na siyasa na iya rikitar da isowar rage farashin.

Rahotanni sun nuna cewa idan Fed ya zabi rage farashin a watan Satumba, ana iya la'akari da shi a matsayin wata tagomashi ga Shugaba Biden mai ci. Idan Trump ya ci zabe a watan Nuwamba, hakan na iya janyo ramuwar gayya ta siyasa.

Duk da cewa Trump ya nada Powell a matsayin shugaban Fed kuma galibi ana bayyana shi a matsayin dan Republican mai rijista, Trump har yanzu yana kallon shawarar Powell a matsayin siyasa. 'Yan jam'iyyar Republican suma sun gargadi Powell game da rage farashin kudi kafin zaben watan Nuwamba. Shugaban kwamitin kula da harkokin kudi na majalisar Henry Henry ya ce, "Kowa yana son a rage masa kudi…

Bugu da ƙari kuma, 'yan jam'iyyar Republicans na Congress sun gargadi Powell game da rage farashin kafin zaben, don kada a gan shi a matsayin siyasa. Shugaban Fed Powell ya nace cewa yanke shawara za ta dogara ne akan bayanai da hangen nesa na tattalin arziki, ba dalilai na siyasa ba.