Hadarin Kasuwa! Kasuwar Hannun Jafan tana ganin Faɗuwar Tarihi: Me ya Faru?

A ranar 5 ga watan Agusta, kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi na duniya sun shaida wani lamari mai ban mamaki: Kasuwar hannayen jari ta Japan ta sami faduwa mafi girma na kwana guda a tarihi. Indexididdigar Nikkei ta ragu da kashi 12.4 cikin ɗari a rana ɗaya, tana share maki 4,451, raguwar ma ta fi tsanani fiye da Black Litinin a 1987.

A cikin ƴan kwanakin ciniki kawai, raguwar tarawa ta kai kashi 26%. Wannan kwatsamCRAsh ba kawai girgiza Japan ba har ma ya haifar da sarkakiya a kasuwannin duniya. Kasuwannin hannayen jari na Koriya ta Kudu da Taiwan su ma sun yi kasa da kashi 9%, yayin da manyan alkaluman Amurka suka fadi da kusan kashi 3%. To, menene ainihin ya haifar da wannan guguwar kuɗi?

Takobin Kafi Biyu na Yen Dauke Ciniki

Don fahimtar faduwar kwanan nan a kasuwar hannayen jari ta Japan, dole ne mutum ya fara fahimtar cinikin yen.

Na dogon lokaci, saboda ƙarancin kudin ruwa na yen sosai, masu zuba jari na duniya sun karɓi rancen yen mai yawa kuma suka mai da su zuwa manyan kuɗaɗe masu haɓaka don samun bambance-bambancen ƙimar riba.

Koyaya, wannan da alama cinikin sasantawa ba shi da haɗari yana ɓoye babban haɗari. Lokacin da bambancin kuɗin ruwa tsakanin yen da dala ya canza, wannan ƙirar sasantawa na iya rushewa da sauri. A cikin watan Maris na wannan shekara, bankin na Japan ya aiwatar da karin kudin sa na farko cikin shekaru 17, wanda ya kawo karshen manufar kudin ruwa mara kyau.

A ranar 31 ga Yuli, Japan ta sake haɓaka rates, yayin da a lokaci guda, hauhawar farashin Amurka ya yi sanyi, yana jagorantar kasuwa don tsammanin Tarayyar Turai.Ajiyedon yanke rates a watan Satumba.

Wannan jerin ayyukan kai tsaye sun haifar da raguwar bambancin kuɗin ruwa tsakanin yen da dala, wanda ke lalata tushen kasuwancin yen. Masu saka hannun jari sun fara siyan Yen mai yawa a kasuwar canji don biyan bashin yen da suka yi, wanda hakan ya sa yen ya karu da kashi 12% idan aka kwatanta da dala a cikin wata guda.

Tasirin Buffett

A cikin wannan guguwar kudi, masu zuba jari na duniya, ciki har da Warren Buffett, sun taka rawa wajen ta'azzara lamarin. A lokacin bala'in cutar ta 2020, Buffett ya fara saka hannun jari a kasuwannin hannayen jari na Japan, yana siyan manyan hannun jari masu yawa. A shekara ta 2023, Buffett ya kara haɓaka jarin sa a kasuwannin hannayen jari na Japan, wanda ya haifar da tashin hankali ga masu saka hannun jari na duniya ga hannun jarin Japan.

A cikin 2023, sayayyar sayayyar sayayyar sayayyar sayayyar da masu saka hannun jari na ketare ke yi a kasuwannin hannayen jari na Japan ya zarce yen tiriliyan 3, wanda hakan ya sanya ma'aunin Nikkei 225 ya karu da kashi 28 cikin dari a cikin shekara guda. Ya zuwa Maris 2024, fihirisar ta karye ta hanyar shingen maki 40,000, tare da karuwa kusan 80%.

Duk da cewa tattalin arzikin kasar Japan bai farfado sosai ba, kasuwar hannayen jari ta kasar Japan ta kai wani sabon matsayi na tarihi, wanda akasarin masu zuba jari na kasa da kasa suka jagoranta.

Duk da haka, yayin da farashin Yen ya karu da raguwar farashin Amurka da ake sa ran ke taruwa a wani yanayi na tarihi, wadannan masu saka hannun jari na kasa da kasa sun fara sayar da hannun jarin Japan da yawa, lamarin da ya haifar da tarzoma a kasuwa. A cikin faɗuwar kasuwa cikin sauri, yawancin saka hannun jarin da aka yi amfani da su an tilasta musu yin ruwa, wanda ke haifar da ƙarin raguwar raguwa da jerin abubuwan da ke haifar da lalacewa. Don haka, an haifar da bala'in tarihi a kasuwar hannayen jarin Japan.

Gaban Outlook

Bayan hadarin, mataimakin gwamnan bankin Japan Shinichi Uchida ya yi gaggawar cewa, "Ba za mu kara farashin ba a karkashin yanayin kasuwar hada-hadar kudi." Duk da yake wannan bayanin ya ba da ɗan gajeren lokaci ga kasuwa, tsammanin dogon lokaci na hauhawar farashin da Bankin Japan ya yi yana da alama ba zai iya jurewa ba.

A halin da ake ciki, sabbin bayanai daga Ma'aikatar Kwadago ta Amurka sun nuna raguwar da'awar rashin aikin yi na farko, raguwa mafi girma a cikin shekara guda, wanda ke nuni da samun ci gaba a kasuwar aiki. Wannan bayanai sun bambanta da na makon da ya gabata, wanda ya haifar da tattaunawa game da yuwuwar koma bayan tattalin arzikin Amurka.

Yin la'akari da kasuwar hada-hadar kuɗi, wannan ya haifar da raguwa mai mahimmanci wanda ya biyo baya zuwa yawan amfanin ƙasa sama da 4%.

Duk da haka, a cikin dogon lokaci, tsammanin kasuwa don rage yawan kuɗin Tarayyar Tarayya yana ƙara ƙarfi. Yiwuwar yanke-maki 50 a watan Satumba ya karu daga 22% mako daya da suka gabata zuwa 56.5% kwanan nan. Fiye da kashi 70% na kasuwa sun yi imanin cewa akwai fiye da kashi 78% na jimlar yanke adadin da ya wuce maki 100 a wannan shekara.

Halin da ake yi na rage farashin Amurka da alama babu makawa, kusan yana tabbatar da cewa bunƙasa a kasuwannin hannayen jari na Japan ya ƙare. Yadda abubuwa za su ci gaba ya rage a gani.

Sanarwa: AAA LENDINGS ne ya gyara wannan labarin; Wasu daga cikin hotunan an ɗauke su ne daga Intanet, ba a wakilta matsayin wurin kuma ba za a sake buga su ba tare da izini ba. Akwai haɗari a kasuwa kuma zuba jari ya kamata a yi hankali. Wannan labarin bai ƙunshi shawarwarin saka hannun jari na sirri ba, kuma baya yin la'akari da takamaiman manufofin saka hannun jari, yanayin kuɗi ko bukatun masu amfani ɗaya. Masu amfani yakamata suyi la'akari ko duk wani ra'ayi, ra'ayi ko ƙarshe da ke ƙunshe a nan ya dace da yanayinsu na musamman. Zuba jari daidai da haɗarin ku.