Fed Ya Shirya Don Wani Rage Rage A Wannan Shekarar, Bayanan Mahimmanci azaman Maɓallin Maɓalli

Rage darajar kwanan nan da Tarayyar Turai ta yiAjiyeya jawo hankalin kasuwa sosai. A makon da ya gabata, Fed ba zato ba tsammani ya saukar da ƙimar manufofinsa da maki 50, matakin da ya wuce tsammanin kasuwa. bayanan bayanan tattalin arziki na baya-bayan nan daga jami'an Fed, kasuwa gabaɗaya ya yi imanin cewa yuwuwar sake rage adadin a wannan shekara yana ƙaruwa.

Indexididdigar PCE na Core: Mahimmin Magana don Manufar Fed

Hankalin kasuwa yana mai da hankali kan sakin Farashin Farashin PCE na Agusta Core, babban mahimmin hauhawar farashi wanda Fed ke saka idanu sosai. Dangane da tsinkaya, Jigilar Farashin PCE na Agusta na iya raguwa zuwa 2.3%, matakin mafi ƙanƙanci tun daga 2021, yayin da Indexididdigar Farashin PCE na ɗan ɗan tashi zuwa 2.7%. Haɓakar da ba zato ba tsammani na farashin gidaje shine babban abin da ke haifar da hauhawar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki. Duk da kwanciyar hankali na kwanan nan a cikin haya da pri na gidaWADANNAN, an samu saukin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a wasu yankunan.

Idan ainihin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya ci gaba da tashi, zai yi tasiri ga shawarar manufofin Fed na gaba. Duk da haka, wasu manyan jami'an Fed, ciki har da shugaban Jerome Powell, sun yi imanin cewa karuwar farashin gidaje na iya zama matsi na hauhawar farashin kayayyaki. Idan hauhawar farashin kaya a wasu yankuna ya ci gaba da yin sanyi, Fed na iya kara rage farashin a wannan shekara. Jami'an Fed sun sha nanata cewa za su sa ido sosai kan bayanan da ke zuwa don yanke shawarar hanyar manufofin gaba.

Ra'ayi Daban-daban A Cikin Fed, Amma Haɗin Kai

Ko da yake akwai bambance-bambance a cikin Fed game da saurin da kuma girman raguwar kuɗi, yawancin jami'ai sun yarda cewa ƙarin sassaucin manufofin ya zama dole don magance yiwuwar raunin tattalin arziki da haɗarin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.

Duk da haka, damuwar kasuwa game da sake farfadowa a cikin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki bai ɓace ba. Farashin farashi na gaba zai iya kasancewa sama da 2% na Fed, yana ba da shawarar cewa yayin da wani raguwar farashin zai kasance kusa, Fed yana buƙatar yin taka tsantsan don guje wa hauhawar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.

Damuwar Tabarbarewar Hauka

Ko da yake gabaɗaya bayanan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki yana nuna yanayin raguwar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, damuwar kasuwa game da dawowar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya ci gaba. Bayanai sun nuna cewa tsammanin masu zuba jari na matsakaicin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a cikin shekaru biyar masu zuwa ya karu zuwa 2.04%, wanda ya zarce matakin a daidai wannan lokacin a bara. Wannan yana nuna cewa kasuwa yana da shakku game da ikon Fed na kiyaye hauhawar farashi akai-akai.

Haka kuma, bayanai daga kasuwannin musanya farashin kayayyaki sun nuna cewa hauhawar farashin kayayyaki na iya zarce abin da Fed ke bukata a cikin shekaru masu zuwa, wanda ke zama babban kalubale ga Fed yayin da yake la'akari da kara rage farashin. Wasu manazarta sun yi gargadin cewa manufofin daidaitawa na Fed na iya haifar da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a cikin rabin na biyu na wannan shekara, wanda ke dagula raguwar farashin nan gaba.

Takaitawa

A taƙaice, yuwuwar wani adadin da Fed ya yanke a wannan shekara yana da girma, amma ƙayyadaddun girma da yawan raguwa zai dogara ne akan bayanan tattalin arziki na gaba. Ƙididdigar Core PCE mai zuwa za ta kasance mai mahimmanci ga jagorancin manufofin Fed. Ko da yake wasu jami'an Fed suna ba da shawarar yin taka tsantsan, matsin lamba biyu na hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da kasuwar ƙwadago a cikin yanayin tattalin arziƙin na yanzu na iya tilasta Fed ta ɗauki ƙarin manufofin daidaitawa a wannan shekara. Matsayin manufofin gaba zai fi dacewa da daidaitawa tsakanin bayanan hauhawar farashin kaya da aikin kasuwar aiki.